风光联合并网引起电压随机波动的概率评估Statistical Assessment of Voltage Random Fluctuation for Joint Grid Integration of Wind and PV Power
赵继超,钱康,许文超,孙纯军,王海潜
摘要(Abstract):
该文提出一种风光联合并网引起电压随机波动的概率评估方法。该方法考虑风电、光伏出力的相关性,基于Copula理论处理风光联合系统出力的不确定性;计及电网元件的可用度,利用戴维南概率等值描述电网的运行状态。考虑风光联合系统出力的不确定性和电网的运行状态,估计PCC点的电压偏差及其发生的概率。算例分析表明,所提方法是可行的,风电、光伏之间的互补性有助于改善风光联合并网引起的电压随机波动。
关键词(KeyWords): 风光联合系统;电压波动;戴维南等值;电压质量
基金项目(Foundation): 江苏省电力设计院科技项目(CEEC12-KJ09)
作者(Author): 赵继超,钱康,许文超,孙纯军,王海潜
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