计及需求响应不确定性的智能用电双向互动仿真Simulation of Smart Power Consumption and Bilateral Interaction Considering Uncertainty of Demand Response
姜勇,杨雪纯,王蓓蓓,窦迅
摘要(Abstract):
双向互动的智能用电是智能电网的重要组成部分。基于现有的分时电价下用户的响应模型,计及需求响应的不确定性。表现在针对某次调价事件,用户响应与否以及即使响应但峰谷负荷转移率由于用户主观因素或其他外界影响因素等而存在不确定性,引入多智能体模拟方法,建立双向互动的改进分时电价调价模型。重点分析了电力公司和电力用户的双向互动过程,以及用户响应的不确定性对电力公司分时电价设定的影响。算例表明,分时电价的调整与用户响应之间存在双向互动的关系且分时电价也会改变用户的响应类型;融入用户响应不确定性使得仿真过程更真实。
关键词(KeyWords): 双向互动;需求响应不确定性;分时电价调价;多智能体
基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学资金资助项目(51277028,71471036)
作者(Author): 姜勇,杨雪纯,王蓓蓓,窦迅
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