席乐,张琳娟,秦楠,许长清,王利利,李景丽

• 1:国网河南省电力公司
• 2:国网河南省电力公司经济技术研究院
• 3:郑州大学电气工程学院

摘要(Abstract)：

电动汽车EV(electric vehicle)充电负荷的合理预测是准确评估电动汽车对电网影响和电动汽车充放电有序控制研究的基础。以具有确定出行时间和行驶里程且充电时间不受分时电价影响的电动公交车、出租车和公务车为研究对象,提出了一种根据某市现行峰平谷电价政策并综合充电起始和结束时间所处的峰平谷阶段动态修正充电目标的EV充电负荷预测方法,通过Matlab进行了仿真计算。结果表明,在分时电价政策调控下动态修正充电目标的充电方式可有效调整峰谷差、降低用户充电费用,所提方法的预测数据可为峰平谷电价下充电方式的确定提供参考。

关键词(KeyWords)： 峰平谷电价;动态修正;电动汽车;负荷预测;蒙特卡洛方法

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金资助项目(51307152)

作者(Author): 席乐,张琳娟,秦楠,许长清,王利利,李景丽

DOI: 10.19635/j.cnki.csu-epsa.000377

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