光伏储能电站平价上网系统动力学分析模型System Dynamics Analysis Model of Photovoltaic Energy Storage Power Station for Grid Parity
宋越,王玉玮,苑曙光,戴同
摘要(Abstract):
为了论证大型光伏储能项目平价上网的经济性,本文基于项目成本和收益的构成及逻辑关系,构建了光伏储能项目平准化成本系统动力学模型。以某平价光伏项目为例,对其配置不同规模储能场景下的项目平准化成本和投资收益率进行测度,并对光伏储能项目平价上网影响因素进行敏感性分析。结果表明,所建模型可用于判断光伏储能项目能否实现平价上网,并能够准确测定项目实现平价上网的边界条件。本文研究不仅能够辅助光伏电站投资决策,也有助于区域光伏产业政策的制定。
关键词(KeyWords): 光伏储能项目;平价上网;平准化成本;内部收益率;系统动力学
基金项目(Foundation): 河北省自然科学基金资助项目(G2020502004)
作者(Author): 宋越,王玉玮,苑曙光,戴同
DOI: 10.19635/j.cnki.csu-epsa.000857
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