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针对如何帮助工业用户在可再生能源消纳责任权重制与碳市场考核下优化自身交易决策进而提升运营效益的问题，提出一种工业用户参与电-碳-绿证多市场联合决策模型。首先分析用户完成相应考核的履约方法，并构建年前-年内两阶段滚动优化的整体决策框架；其次，计及期望利润及市场风险，以综合收益最大化为目标，建立基于条件风险价值的工业用户参与多市场联合决策模型，以对完整履约周期内各时段的电力、碳配额及绿证交易进行合理安排；最后，通过算例验证所提模型的有效性。结果表明：与传统方法相比，所提模型能够综合考虑多市场情况，使用户决策兼具灵活性和鲁棒性；将绿电交易纳入决策模型中可使用户减少自身碳排放量并获得更大的综合效益。
Abstract：Aimed at the issue of how to assist industrial users in optimizing their transaction decisions and thus enhancing their operation benefits under a renewable energy consumption responsibility weight system and carbon market assessment,an integrated decision-making model of industrial users participating in electricity-carbon-green certificate multi-market is proposed. First,the compliance methods for users to complete the corresponding assessments are analyzed,and an overall decision-making framework of two stages(i.e.,before and within a year,respectively)of rolling optimization is constructed. Second,with the consideration of expected profit and market risk,an integrated decisionmaking model of industrial users participating in the multi-market based on conditional value-at-risk(CVaR)is established with the goal of maximizing the comprehensive profit,so as to make reasonable arrangements for the transaction of electricity,carbon quota and green certificate in a complete performance period. Finally,the validity of the model is verified by an example. Results show that compared with the traditional approaches,the proposed model can comprehensively take into account the multi-market situation and make the users' decisions both flexible and robust. In addition,incorporating green electricity transaction into the decision-making model can enable users to reduce their own carbon emissions and obtain greater comprehensive benefits.
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基本信息:
DOI：10.19635/j.cnki.csu-epsa.001647
中图分类号:F426.61;F832.5;X196
引用信息:
[1]张思源,王海宁,袁明珠,等.工业用户参与电-碳-绿证多市场联合决策模型[J].电力系统及其自动化学报,2025,37(09):1-10.DOI:10.19635/j.cnki.csu-epsa.001647.
基金信息:
国家自然科学基金资助项目(U22B20110)
2025-03-19
2025
2025-05-23
2025-09-29
2025
1
2025-05-30
2025-05-30
2025-05-30